Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 63.523883 72.040236 80.762475 90.330011 100.497409 110.949640 122.476886
2025-11-30 51.428977 63.733740 76.915222 91.948339 108.489260 126.018289 145.886234
2025-12-07 44.285813 58.715405 74.693274 93.415909 114.496143 137.270499 163.518768
2025-12-14 37.420523 53.078115 70.982466 92.496295 117.222230 144.384496 176.133922
2025-12-21 31.382528 47.696488 66.957647 90.661259 118.422733 149.376828 186.005437
2025-12-28 29.058926 46.532797 67.655759 94.095045 125.465971 160.797273 202.946811
2026-01-04 26.328683 44.559482 67.142709 95.894652 130.447167 169.739127 216.976583
2026-01-11 22.920414 41.374751 64.879015 95.367694 132.511002 175.180119 226.889622
2026-01-18 19.965340 38.512405 62.801560 94.881834 134.469977 180.376647 236.417040
2026-01-25 17.761193 36.481553 61.635126 95.395245 137.525385 186.774128 247.266524
2026-02-01 15.361658 33.930003 59.610393 94.684742 138.978718 191.194191 255.741244
2026-02-08 13.486430 31.972123 58.246549 94.709240 141.248488 196.518275 265.221501
2026-02-15 11.439562 29.551345 56.135055 93.700043 142.214363 200.297164 272.931609
2026-02-22 10.288794 28.467815 55.823240 95.005510 146.047576 207.514940 284.713067
2026-03-01 9.325711 27.593296 55.740680 96.564265 150.163159 215.049274 296.853881
2026-03-08 7.823907 25.572168 53.864553 95.615691 151.020415 218.567470 304.162739
2026-03-15 6.295444 23.257362 51.399622 93.748458 150.610543 220.467063 309.475760
2026-03-22 6.075852 23.495946 52.818515 97.245911 157.140406 230.914276 325.088746
2026-03-29 5.534963 23.001542 53.062164 99.078755 161.490329 238.661624 337.442543
2026-04-05 4.602606 21.517347 51.663982 98.542101 162.699272 242.485047 345.025475
2026-04-12 3.789510 20.134935 50.339857 98.047297 163.917475 246.287578 352.558922
2026-04-19 3.228218 19.238448 49.752064 98.570162 166.456115 251.723461 362.071097
2026-04-26 2.562846 17.902660 48.345888 97.846569 167.292271 254.993299 368.915774